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Midseason Duke Basketball Predictions Update

Courtesy of TeamRankings.com

  • After beating Florida State 100-93 yesterday, Duke is now projected to finish the regular season 27-4 (14-4 ACC).
  • We currently rank Duke as the #2 team in the country, and the #1 team in the ACC.
  • Next game: Sat, Jan 6 at #77 NC State. Our power ratings give the Blue Devils a 85% chance to win.

Bracketology Projections

Make NCAA TourneyGet Automatic NCAA BidProjected Seed
100%39%1
  • Duke is a lock to make the NCAA tournament, regardless of whether they win the ACC tournament.
  • We project the Blue Devils with a 76% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 36% chance to reach the Final Four
  • Duke has a 13% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That makes them one of the favorites!

Regular Season Record Projection

Current RecordProjection For Remaining GamesProjected
Final Record
13-1 (1-1 ACC)14-3 (13-3 ACC)27-4
  • The more precise final record expectation for Duke is 26.9 wins and 4.1 losses, slightly worse than the rounded projection above.
  • Based on our projections, the Blue Devils will most likely finish the regular season with a record between 28-3 and 25-6.
  • Duke has a 4% chance to win all 17 of their remaining scheduled games.

ACC Tournament Projections

Get ACC #1 SeedProjected SeedWin ACC Tourney
48%139%
  • The odds for Duke to earn the #1 seed in the ACC tournament are up 5% since yesterday.
  • The chance of Duke winning the ACC tournament has increased by 1% since yesterday.

Remaining Games & Win Odds

Jan 6
@ #77 NC State
85.5%
Jan 10
@ #181 Pittsburgh
96.7%
Jan 13
vs. #68 Wake Forest
95.9%
Jan 15
@ #20 Miami (FL)
61.3%
Jan 20
vs. #181 Pittsburgh
99.5%
Jan 23
@ #68 Wake Forest
83.7%
Jan 27
vs. #7 Virginia
78.2%
Jan 29
vs. #28 Notre Dame
87.8%
Feb 3
@ #60 St Johns
81.7%
Feb 8
@ #9 N Carolina
51.6%
Feb 11
@ #138 GA Tech
93.8%
Feb 14
vs. #34 VA Tech
89.6%
Feb 18
@ #25 Clemson
64.9%
Feb 21
vs. #39 Louisville
90.3%
Feb 24
vs. #59 Syracuse
94.7%
Feb 26
@ #34 VA Tech
69.2%
Mar 3
vs. #9 N Carolina
78.9%