It’s only been one game, but here are the way too early Duke Basketball projections from TeamRankings.com:
- After beating Elon 97-68 yesterday, Duke is now projected to finish the regular season 24-5 (14-4 ACC).
- The odds that the Blue Devils make the NCAA tournament are up to 98%, an increase of 3% since yesterday.
- We currently rank Duke as the #2 team in the country, and the #1 team in the ACC.
- Next game: Sat, Nov 11 vs. #133 Utah Val St. Our power ratings give the Blue Devils a 99% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
| Make NCAA Tournament | Get Automatic NCAA Bid | Projected Seed (if Selected) |
|---|---|---|
| 98% | 33% | 2 |
- Duke will almost certainly make the NCAA tournament, even if they don’t win the ACC tournament.
- We project the Blue Devils with a 66% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 28% chance to reach the Final Four.
- Duke has a 10% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That makes them one of the favorites!
Regular Season Record Projection
| Current Record | Projection For Remaining Games | Projected Final Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 (0-0 ACC) | 23-5 (14-4 ACC) | 24-5 (14-4 ACC) |
- The more precise final record expectation for Duke is 24.2 wins and 4.8 losses, slightly better than the rounded projection above.
- Based on our projections, the Blue Devils will most likely finish the regular season with a record between 27-2 and 22-7.
- Duke has a 2% chance to win all 28 of their remaining scheduled games.
ACC Tournament Projections
| Get ACC #1 Seed | Projected Seed | Win ACC Tournament |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | 1 | 33% |
- The odds for Duke to earn the #1 seed in the ACC tournament are up 6% since yesterday.
- The chance of Duke winning the ACC tournament has increased by 4% since yesterday.
Remaining Games & Win Odds
Nov 11  vs. #133 Utah Val St 98.6% | Nov 14  vs. (N) #4 Michigan St 56.1% | Nov 17  vs. #328 Southern 99.5% |
Nov 20  vs. #99 Furman 97.4% | Nov 23  vs. (N) #263 Portland St 99.5% | Nov 29  @ #74 Indiana 80.8% |
Dec 2  vs. #153 South Dakota 98.9% | Dec 5  vs. #253 St Fran (PA) 99.5% | Dec 9  @ #90 Boston Col 86.4% |
Dec 20  vs. #160 Evansville 99.0% | Dec 30  vs. #53 Florida St 91.5% | Jan 6  @ #97 NC State 87.8% |
Jan 10  @ #175 Pittsburgh 94.8% | Jan 13  vs. #72 Wake Forest 94.6% | Jan 15  @ #15 Miami (FL) 53.2% |
Jan 20 vs. #175 Pittsburgh 99.2% | Jan 23 @ #72 Wake Forest 80.2% | Jan 27  vs. #22 Virginia 83.2% |
Jan 29  vs. #20 Notre Dame 82.7% | Feb 3  @ #56 St Johns 74.6% | Feb 8  @ #11 N Carolina 50.8% |
Feb 11  @ #65 GA Tech 78.3% | Feb 14  vs. #51 VA Tech 91.5% | Feb 18  @ #45 Clemson 69.9% |
Feb 21  vs. #14 Louisville 79.9% | Feb 24  vs. #67 Syracuse 94.0% | Feb 26 @ #51 VA Tech 72.9% |
Mar 3 vs. #11 N Carolina 78.2% |
