It’s only been one game, but here are the way too early Duke Basketball projections from TeamRankings.com:
- After beating Elon 97-68 yesterday, Duke is now projected to finish the regular season 24-5 (14-4 ACC).
- The odds that the Blue Devils make the NCAA tournament are up to 98%, an increase of 3% since yesterday.
- We currently rank Duke as the #2 team in the country, and the #1 team in the ACC.
- Next game: Sat, Nov 11 vs. #133 Utah Val St. Our power ratings give the Blue Devils a 99% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
| Make NCAA Tournament | Get Automatic NCAA Bid | Projected Seed (if Selected) |
|---|---|---|
| 98% | 33% | 2 |
- Duke will almost certainly make the NCAA tournament, even if they don’t win the ACC tournament.
- We project the Blue Devils with a 66% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 28% chance to reach the Final Four.
- Duke has a 10% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That makes them one of the favorites!
Regular Season Record Projection
| Current Record | Projection For Remaining Games | Projected Final Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0
(0-0 ACC)
|
23-5
(14-4 ACC)
|
24-5
(14-4 ACC)
|
- The more precise final record expectation for Duke is 24.2 wins and 4.8 losses, slightly better than the rounded projection above.
- Based on our projections, the Blue Devils will most likely finish the regular season with a record between 27-2 and 22-7.
- Duke has a 2% chance to win all 28 of their remaining scheduled games.
ACC Tournament Projections
| Get ACC #1 Seed | Projected Seed | Win ACC Tournament |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | 1 | 33% |
- The odds for Duke to earn the #1 seed in the ACC tournament are up 6% since yesterday.
- The chance of Duke winning the ACC tournament has increased by 4% since yesterday.
Remaining Games & Win Odds
|
Nov 11
 vs. #133 Utah Val St
98.6%
|
Nov 14
 vs. (N) #4 Michigan St
56.1%
|
Nov 17
 vs. #328 Southern
99.5%
|
|
Nov 20
 vs. #99 Furman
97.4%
|
Nov 23
 vs. (N) #263 Portland St
99.5%
|
Nov 29
 @ #74 Indiana
80.8%
|
|
Dec 2
 vs. #153 South Dakota
98.9%
|
Dec 5
 vs. #253 St Fran (PA)
99.5%
|
Dec 9
 @ #90 Boston Col
86.4%
|
|
Dec 20
 vs. #160 Evansville
99.0%
|
Dec 30
 vs. #53 Florida St
91.5%
|
Jan 6
 @ #97 NC State
87.8%
|
|
Jan 10
 @ #175 Pittsburgh
94.8%
|
Jan 13
 vs. #72 Wake Forest
94.6%
|
Jan 15
 @ #15 Miami (FL)
53.2%
|
|
Jan 20
vs. #175 Pittsburgh
99.2%
|
Jan 23
@ #72 Wake Forest
80.2%
|
Jan 27
 vs. #22 Virginia
83.2%
|
|
Jan 29
 vs. #20 Notre Dame
82.7%
|
Feb 3
 @ #56 St Johns
74.6%
|
Feb 8
 @ #11 N Carolina
50.8%
|
|
Feb 11
 @ #65 GA Tech
78.3%
|
Feb 14
 vs. #51 VA Tech
91.5%
|
Feb 18
 @ #45 Clemson
69.9%
|
|
Feb 21
 vs. #14 Louisville
79.9%
|
Feb 24
 vs. #67 Syracuse
94.0%
|
Feb 26
@ #51 VA Tech
72.9%
|
|
Mar 3
vs. #11 N Carolina
78.2%
|
