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Way Too Early Duke Basketball Projections

It’s only been one game, but here are the way too early Duke Basketball projections from TeamRankings.com:

  • After beating Elon 97-68 yesterday, Duke is now projected to finish the regular season 24-5 (14-4 ACC).
  • The odds that the Blue Devils make the NCAA tournament are up to 98%, an increase of 3% since yesterday.
  • We currently rank Duke as the #2 team in the country, and the #1 team in the ACC.
  • Next game: Sat, Nov 11 vs. #133 Utah Val St. Our power ratings give the Blue Devils a 99% chance to win.

Bracketology Projections

Make NCAA Tournament Get Automatic NCAA Bid Projected Seed
(if Selected)
98% 33% 2
  • Duke will almost certainly make the NCAA tournament, even if they don’t win the ACC tournament.
  • We project the Blue Devils with a 66% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 28% chance to reach the Final Four.
  • Duke has a 10% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That makes them one of the favorites!

Regular Season Record Projection

Current Record Projection For Remaining Games Projected
Final Record
1-0

(0-0 ACC)
23-5

(14-4 ACC)
24-5

(14-4 ACC)
  • The more precise final record expectation for Duke is 24.2 wins and 4.8 losses, slightly better than the rounded projection above.
  • Based on our projections, the Blue Devils will most likely finish the regular season with a record between 27-2 and 22-7.
  • Duke has a 2% chance to win all 28 of their remaining scheduled games.

ACC Tournament Projections

Get ACC #1 Seed Projected Seed Win ACC Tournament
43% 1 33%
  • The odds for Duke to earn the #1 seed in the ACC tournament are up 6% since yesterday.
  • The chance of Duke winning the ACC tournament has increased by 4% since yesterday.

Remaining Games & Win Odds

Nov 11
Utah Valley Logo
vs. #133 Utah Val St
98.6%
Nov 14
Michigan St Logo
vs. (N) #4 Michigan St
56.1%
Nov 17
Southern Logo
vs. #328 Southern
99.5%
Nov 20
Furman Logo
vs. #99 Furman
97.4%
Nov 23
Portland St. Logo
vs. (N) #263 Portland St
99.5%
Nov 29
Indiana Logo
@ #74 Indiana
80.8%
Dec 2
South Dakota Logo
vs. #153 South Dakota
98.9%
Dec 5
St. Francis (PA) Logo
vs. #253 St Fran (PA)
99.5%
Dec 9
Boston College Logo
@ #90 Boston Col
86.4%
Dec 20
Evansville Logo
vs. #160 Evansville
99.0%
Dec 30
Florida State Logo
vs. #53 Florida St
91.5%
Jan 6
NC State Logo
@ #97 NC State
87.8%
Jan 10
Pittsburgh Logo
@ #175 Pittsburgh
94.8%
Jan 13
Wake Forest Logo
vs. #72 Wake Forest
94.6%
Jan 15
Miami-Florida Logo
@ #15 Miami (FL)
53.2%
Jan 20
Pittsburgh Logo
vs. #175 Pittsburgh
99.2%
Jan 23
Wake Forest Logo
@ #72 Wake Forest
80.2%
Jan 27
Virginia Logo
vs. #22 Virginia
83.2%
Jan 29
Notre Dame Logo
vs. #20 Notre Dame
82.7%
Feb 3
St. John's Logo
@ #56 St Johns
74.6%
Feb 8
North Carolina Logo
@ #11 N Carolina
50.8%
Feb 11
Georgia Tech Logo
@ #65 GA Tech
78.3%
Feb 14
Virginia Tech Logo
vs. #51 VA Tech
91.5%
Feb 18
Clemson Logo
@ #45 Clemson
69.9%
Feb 21
Louisville Logo
vs. #14 Louisville
79.9%
Feb 24
Syracuse Logo
vs. #67 Syracuse
94.0%
Feb 26
Virginia Tech Logo
@ #51 VA Tech
72.9%
Mar 3
North Carolina Logo
vs. #11 N Carolina
78.2%