Way Too Early Duke Basketball Projections

It’s only been one game, but here are the way too early Duke Basketball projections from TeamRankings.com:

• After beating Elon 97-68 yesterday, Duke is now projected to finish the regular season 24-5 (14-4 ACC).
• The odds that the Blue Devils make the NCAA tournament are up to 98%, an increase of 3% since yesterday.
• We currently rank Duke as the #2 team in the country, and the #1 team in the ACC.
• Next game: Sat, Nov 11 vs. #133 Utah Val St. Our power ratings give the Blue Devils a 99% chance to win.

Bracketology Projections

Make NCAA Tournament	Get Automatic NCAA Bid	Projected Seed (if Selected)
98%	33%	2

• Duke will almost certainly make the NCAA tournament, even if they don’t win the ACC tournament.
• We project the Blue Devils with a 66% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 28% chance to reach the Final Four.
• Duke has a 10% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That makes them one of the favorites!

Regular Season Record Projection

Current Record	Projection For Remaining Games	Projected Final Record
1-0 (0-0 ACC)	23-5 (14-4 ACC)	24-5 (14-4 ACC)

• The more precise final record expectation for Duke is 24.2 wins and 4.8 losses, slightly better than the rounded projection above.
• Based on our projections, the Blue Devils will most likely finish the regular season with a record between 27-2 and 22-7.
• Duke has a 2% chance to win all 28 of their remaining scheduled games.

ACC Tournament Projections

Get ACC #1 Seed	Projected Seed	Win ACC Tournament
43%	1	33%

• The odds for Duke to earn the #1 seed in the ACC tournament are up 6% since yesterday.
• The chance of Duke winning the ACC tournament has increased by 4% since yesterday.

Remaining Games & Win Odds

Nov 11 vs. #133 Utah Val St 98.6%	Nov 14 vs. (N) #4 Michigan St 56.1%	Nov 17 vs. #328 Southern 99.5%
Nov 20 vs. #99 Furman 97.4%	Nov 23 vs. (N) #263 Portland St 99.5%	Nov 29 @ #74 Indiana 80.8%
Dec 2 vs. #153 South Dakota 98.9%	Dec 5 vs. #253 St Fran (PA) 99.5%	Dec 9 @ #90 Boston Col 86.4%
Dec 20 vs. #160 Evansville 99.0%	Dec 30 vs. #53 Florida St 91.5%	Jan 6 @ #97 NC State 87.8%
Jan 10 @ #175 Pittsburgh 94.8%	Jan 13 vs. #72 Wake Forest 94.6%	Jan 15 @ #15 Miami (FL) 53.2%
Jan 20 vs. #175 Pittsburgh 99.2%	Jan 23 @ #72 Wake Forest 80.2%	Jan 27 vs. #22 Virginia 83.2%
Jan 29 vs. #20 Notre Dame 82.7%	Feb 3 @ #56 St Johns 74.6%	Feb 8 @ #11 N Carolina 50.8%
Feb 11 @ #65 GA Tech 78.3%	Feb 14 vs. #51 VA Tech 91.5%	Feb 18 @ #45 Clemson 69.9%
Feb 21 vs. #14 Louisville 79.9%	Feb 24 vs. #67 Syracuse 94.0%	Feb 26 @ #51 VA Tech 72.9%
Mar 3 vs. #11 N Carolina 78.2%